KETEP 세계에너지시장정보

2050년까지의 에너지 시장에 대한 예측이 담긴 ‘AEO2022’ 보고서가 EIA에 발간되었습니다.

 

 

제목 :  ANNUAL ENERGY OUTLOOK 2022(AEO2022)

 

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Introduction

-Key takeaways from the Reference case and side cases

-The Annual Energy Outlook 2022 explores long‐term energy trends in the United States

-What is the AEO2022 Reference case?

-What are the side cases?

 

Consumption

-Motor gasoline remains the most prevalent transportation fuel despite electric

vehicles gaining market share

-Energy‐related carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions dip through 2035 before climbing later in the projection years

-Energy consumption increases through 2050 as population and economic

growth outweighs efficiency gains

-Electricity continues to be the fastest‐growing energy source in buildings, with

renewables and natural gas providing most of the incremental electricity supply

 

Electricity

-Electricity demand grows slowly across the projection period, which increases

competition among fuels

-Renewable electricity generation increases more rapidly than overall electricity

demand through 2050

-Battery storage complements growth in renewables generation and reduces

natural gas‐fired and oil‐fired generation during peak hours

-As coal and nuclear generating capacity retire, new capacity additions come

largely from wind and solar technologies

 

Production

-U.S. production of natural gas and petroleum and other liquids rises amid

growing demand for exports and industrial uses

-Driven by rising prices, U.S. crude oil production in the Reference case returns to pre‐pandemic levels in 2023 and stabilizes over the long term

-Refinery closures lower domestic crude oil distillation operating capacity, but

refinery utilization rates remain flat over the long term

-Consumption of renewable diesel increases as a share of the domestic fuel mix

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