| 브라질의 에너지 정책 검토 2025 |
| 수소 전략 |
저탄소 전력 국가이지만, 전환의 다음 단계가 과제 |
바이오연료는 핵심 전략 자산 |
- 브라질은 재생에너지 기반 저탄소 수소 생산 잠재력 보유국
- 초기 단계에서는 정유, 비료, 철강 중심의 국내 수요 중심 전략
- 중장기적으로는 암모니아, 수소 수출 가능성 검토 |
- 브라질 전력의 80% 이상이 재생에너지로 구성
- 전력 부문 자체의 탄소집약도는 매우 낮음
- 그러나 수송, 산업, 연료 부문은 여전히 화석연료 의존도가 높음
- 즉, 전력 전환은 이미 성공했지만, 최종 에너지 소비 부문의 탈탄소가 핵심 과제로 부상함 |
- 브라질은 세계 최대의 에너지, 바이오디젤 생산국 중 하나임
- 기존 인프라, 차량, 시장 구조가 이미 형성됨
- 바이오연료는 브라질만이 가진 차별적 감축 수단임 |
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| 온실가스 감축 목표 |
2030년까지 배출량 50% 감축 (2005년 기준)
2050년까지 넷제로(Net-Zero) 달성 |
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| 2040년 전력 공급 용량 |
| 전력 설치 용량 계획 |
2024년 729520GWh → 2050년 1075000GWh |
| 연평균 성장률 (CAGR) : 1.5% |
| 연평균 증가량 : 13288GWh |
| 2050 전력 설치 용량 믹스 |
수력 : 41.9% |
바이오 : 8.4% |
| 풍력 : 23.3% |
천연가스 : 5.6% |
| 태양광 : 20.5% |
석유 석탄 : 0.5% |
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| 2050년 재생에너지 전력 공급 전망 |
| 국가 |
공급원 |
2024 |
2030 |
2050 |
연평균 증가량 |
CAGR |
| 브라질 |
합계(GWh) |
729,520 |
770,000 |
1,075,000 |
13,288 |
1.5% |
| 수력 |
414,840 |
420,000 |
450,000 |
1,352 |
0.3% |
| 풍력 |
107,810 |
120,000 |
250,000 |
5,469 |
3.3% |
| 태양광 |
74,680 |
80,000 |
220,000 |
5,589 |
4.2% |
| 바이오 |
56,420 |
60,000 |
90,000 |
1,292 |
1.8% |
| 천연가스 |
47,780 |
70,000 |
60,000 |
470 |
0.9% |
| 석유 석탄 |
27,990 |
20,000 |
5,000 |
-884 |
-6.4% |
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| 관련 정책 및 법령 정보 |
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| 원문 목차 |
한글 목차(구글 번역) |
| Energy Policy Review Brazil 2025 |
브라질의 에너지 정책 검토 2025 |
Executive summary ............................................................................................ 5
General background ......................................................................................... 14
Energy and climate policy landscape .............................................................. 17
Institutional framework .................................................................................... 17
Climate change ............................................................................................... 18
Key energy policies and strategies ................................................................. 21
Key energy transition policies ......................................................................... 22
Energy programmes ....................................................................................... 25
Cross-cutting plans ......................................................................................... 26
Recommendations .......................................................................................... 27
People-centred clean energy transitions ........................................................ 28
Recommendations .......................................................................................... 35
Investment and financing ................................................................................ 38
Recommendations .......................................................................................... 42
End-use sectors ................................................................................................ 44
Industry ........................................................................................................... 46
Recommendations .......................................................................................... 49
Transport ......................................................................................................... 51
Recommendations .......................................................................................... 55
Buildings .......................................................................................................... 57
Recommendations .......................................................................................... 60
Electricity ........................................................................................................... 62
Decarbonisation outlook ................................................................................. 63
Scenarios, system planning ............................................................................ 64
Electricity market ............................................................................................. 67
Renewables .................................................................................................... 71
Nuclear ............................................................................................................ 78
Recommendations .......................................................................................... 79
Fuels .................................................................................................................. 83
Oil and gas upstream sector ........................................................................... 83
Recommendations .......................................................................................... 88
Oil market ........................................................................................................ 90
Recommendations .......................................................................................... 95
Natural gas market .......................................................................................... 97
Recommendations ........................................................................................ 100
Biofuels ......................................................................................................... 102
Hydrogen ....................................................................................................... 110
Recommendations ........................................................................................ 115
Data, statistics and tracking .......................................................................... 120
Recommendations ........................................................................................ 126
Annexes ........................................................................................................... 129 |
요약 ............................................................................................................... 5
일반 배경 ..................................................................................................... 14
에너지 및 기후 정책 환경 ......................................................................... 17
제도적 체계 ................................................................................................ 17
기후변화 ..................................................................................................... 18
주요 에너지 정책 및 전략 ......................................................................... 21
주요 에너지 전환 정책 ............................................................................. 22
에너지 프로그램 ....................................................................................... 25
범부처 연계 계획 ....................................................................................... 26
권고 사항 .................................................................................................... 27
국민 중심의 청정에너지 전환 .................................................................. 28
권고 사항 .................................................................................................... 35
투자 및 재원 조달 ..................................................................................... 38
권고 사항 .................................................................................................... 42
최종 에너지 소비 부문 ............................................................................. 44
산업 ............................................................................................................. 46
권고 사항 .................................................................................................... 49
수송 ............................................................................................................. 51
권고 사항 .................................................................................................... 55
건물 ............................................................................................................. 57
권고 사항 .................................................................................................... 60
전력 ............................................................................................................. 62
탈탄소화 전망 ........................................................................................... 63
시나리오 및 전력계통 계획 ...................................................................... 64
전력시장 .................................................................................................... 67
재생에너지 ................................................................................................ 71
원자력 ........................................................................................................ 78
권고 사항 .................................................................................................... 79
연료 ............................................................................................................. 83
석유·가스 상류 부문 ................................................................................. 83
권고 사항 .................................................................................................... 88
석유 시장 .................................................................................................... 90
권고 사항 .................................................................................................... 95
천연가스 시장 ........................................................................................... 97
권고 사항 .................................................................................................. 100
바이오연료 ................................................................................................ 102
수소 ........................................................................................................... 110
권고 사항 .................................................................................................. 115
에너지 데이터·통계 및 이행 점검 .......................................................... 120
권고 사항 .................................................................................................. 126
부록 ........................................................................................................... 129 |
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위 게시물은 ‘공공누리 제3 유형: 출처표시+변경금지’ 조건에 따라 이용할 수 있습니다.
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