KETEP 세계에너지시장정보

Foreword ........................................................................................................................................................... 3 

Executive summary............................................................................................................................................ 4 

Key messages ..................................................................................................................................................... 5 

1 Global perspective on renewable energy resources in 2023 ................................................................... 7 
 1.1 Introduction .................................................................................................................................. 7 
 1.2 Key climate observations for 2023 ............................................................................................... 9 
 1.3 Wind power capacity factor ........................................................................................................ 10 
 1.4 Solar power capacity factor ........................................................................................................ 12 
 1.5 Hydropower proxy indicator ....................................................................................................... 15 
 1.6 Energy demand proxy indicator .................................................................................................. 17 

2 Regional perspective ............................................................................................................................... 20 
 2.1 Africa........................................................................................................................................... 20 
 2.2 Asia ............................................................................................................................................. 22 
 2.3 South America ............................................................................................................................ 25 

3 Adaptation to climate variability with seasonal climate forecasts ......................................................... 27 
 3.1 Seasonal forecast of wind speed ................................................................................................ 28 
 3.2 Seasonal forecast for solar radiation .......................................................................................... 29 
 3.3 Seasonal forecast for precipitation ............................................................................................. 29 
 3.4 Seasonal forecast for temperature ............................................................................................. 30 

4 Conclusions ............................................................................................................................................. 32 
 4.1 Key messages .............................................................................................................................. 33 

5 Methodology .......................................................................................................................................... 34 
 5.1 Wind power capacity factor calculation .................................................................................... 35 
 5.2 Solar photovoltaic power capacity factor calculation ................................................................ 36 
 5.3 Hydropower proxy ..................................................................................................................... 38 
 5.4 Energy demand proxy ................................................................................................................ 39 
 5.5 Seasonal forecast skill measure ................................................................................................. 41 
 5.6 Seasonal forecast assessment .................................................................................................... 42 

6 References .............................................................................................................................................. 44