KETEP 세계에너지시장정보

Foreword ............................................................................................................. 3 

Executive summary ............................................................................................. 5 

Key messages ...................................................................................................... 8 

1.  Global perspective on renewable energy  resources in 2024 .................. 10 
 1.1 Introduction ............................................................................................. 10 
 1.2 Indicators and methodological approach ....................................................... 12 
 1.3 Global overview ........................................................................................ 13 
 1.4 Key climate observations for 2024 ............................................................... 14 
 1.5 Wind power capacity factor ......................................................................... 15 
 1.6 Solar power capacity factor ......................................................................... 18 
 1.7 Hydropower proxy ..................................................................................... 21 
 1.8 Energy demand proxy ................................................................................ 23 

2. Regional perspective ............................................................................... 25 
 2.1 Africa ...................................................................................................... 27 
 2.2 Asia ........................................................................................................ 29 
 2.3 Central and South America ......................................................................... 31 
 
3. Adaptation to climate variability with seasonal forecasts ........................ 33 
 3.1 Seasonal forecast of wind power capacity factor ............................................ 34 
 3.2 Seasonal forecast of solar power capacity factor ............................................ 35 
 3.3 Seasonal forecast of hydropower proxy ........................................................ 35 
 3.4 Seasonal forecast of energy demand proxy ................................................... 35 

4. Conclusions and implications ................................................................... 38 
 4.1 Climate drivers of energy variability in 2024 .................................................. 38 
 4.2 Regional highlights and insights ................................................................... 39 
 4.3 Role of seasonal forecasts .......................................................................... 39 
 4.4 From monitoring to action: Operational needs ............................................... 39 
 4.5 Cross-border energy considerations and compensatory strategies .................... 41 
 4.6 Recommendations for a resilient energy future through renewables .................. 41 

Appendix 1. Methodology .................................................................................. 43 
 1. Wind power capacity factor calculation ......................................................... 44 
 2. Solar photovoltaic power capacity factor calculation ....................................... 45 
 3. Hydropower proxy ..................................................................................... 46 
 4. Energy demand proxy ................................................................................ 48 

Appendix 2. Seasonal forecast assessment ....................................................... 51 
 Seasonal forecast skill measure ............................................................................. 51 
 
Appendix 3. Additional figures........................................................................... 58 
 
References ........................................................................................................ 62