KETEP 세계에너지시장정보

Acknowledgements ........................................................................................................... 8 

List of abbreviations .......................................................................................................... 9 

Executive summary ........................................................................................................... 10 

1 INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................... 13 
 1.1 Resilience studies using PVs ..................................................................... 14 
 1.2 Lesson from natural disasters – case study in Japan ................................. 15 
 
2 METHODS ............................................................................................................ 17 
 2.1 Cities and communities as systems............................................................... 17 
 2.2 Resilience as stability .................................................................................... 18 
 2.3 The concept of resilience as an adaptive restructuring capability ..................... 19 
 2.4 VIPV ................................................................................................................ 20 
 2.5 VIPV versus PV charging stations ................................................................... 20 
 2.6 Energy demand in an emergency .................................................................... 22 
 2.7 The public goods model versus the voluntary contribution model .................... 23 
 2.8 100% voluntary or selfish power hoarding ....................................................... 24 

3 RESILIENCE SCENARIO USING SEV USING A SIMPLE VOLUNTARY MODEL ............. 25 
 3.1 Energy demand in the disaster zone .......................................................... 26 
 3.2 Energy donation from VIPV ........................................................................ 27 
 3.3 Monte Carlo simulation on the demand-supply balance of the emergency energy ...... 28 

4 RESILIENCE SCENARIO USING BEV USING A SIMPLE VOLUNTARY MODEL .......31 

5 RESILIENCE SCENARIO USING VIPV WITH SELFISH POWER HOARDING.......... 32 

6 GUIDELINES CONSIDERING REGIONAL VIPV ENERGY GENERATION .......... 37 

7 . Commercial VIPV System for Emergency Power Supply in Miyazaki, Japan by IM Efficiency ....... 41 
 7.1 Context and Motivation ............................................................................... 41 
 7.2 Energy Generation Performance in Miyazaki ............................................. 42 
 7.3 Study on Emergency Power Allocation ....................................................... 45 
 7.4 Comparison with conventional solution ...................................................... 47 
 
8 CONCLUSION....................................................................................................... 49
 8.1 Core Advantages of VIPV and SEV for Disaster Resilience ....................... 49 
 8.2 Insights from Monte Carlo Modelling .......................................................... 49 
 8.3 Integration of Real-World Evidence: IM Efficiency Case Study ................... 49 
 8.4 Synthesis: What This Means for Future Disaster Preparedness ................. 50 
 8.5 Final Remark .............................................................................................. 50 

References ....................................................................................................................... 51