KETEP 세계에너지시장정보

List of Figures....................................................................................................................6

List of tables ......................................................................................................................7

Acknowledgements ...........................................................................................................9

List of abbreviations ..........................................................................................................10

Executive summary ...........................................................................................................12

1 Introduction............................................................................................................15
 
2 Materials and methods...........................................................................................19
 2.1 PV Deployment Scenarios..........................................................................19
 2.2 PV technology developments .....................................................................20
 2.3 PV technology functional layer configurations and the underlying material demand ......23
 2.4 Material flow analysis model.......................................................................25
 2.5 Sensitivity analysis .....................................................................................26
 2.6 Resource-use assessment .........................................................................28

3 Results and discussion ..........................................................................................30
 3.1 Future demand trends and recycling prospects for PV materials ................30
 3.2 Sensitivity analysis .....................................................................................38
 3.3 Resource-use impacts................................................................................42

4 Conclusion.............................................................................................................44

5 Limitations and future research ..............................................................................45

References........................................................................................................................47

A. APPENDIX: Starting PV technology material composition [2025]...........................54

B. APPENDIX: Additional resource-use impact results...............................................58

C. APPENDIX: Detailed results for the future annual end-of-life PV system outflows.........59

D. APPENDIX: Additional results for in-use stock and annual material flows ..............61

E. APPENDIX: Sensitivity analysis results for the cumulative PV raw material demands...........64