KETEP 세계에너지시장정보

Abstract...................................................................................................................................................................................................... 5

Acknowledgements.............................................................................................................................................................................. 6

Executive summary.............................................................................................................................................................................. 7

1. Introduction .................................................................................................................................................................................... 10

2. Baseline scenarios and flexibility assumptions ......................................................................................................... 12
 2.1. Decarbonisation scenarios .......................................................................................................................................... 12
 2.2. Flexibility sources ............................................................................................................................................................. 13
 2.3. Installed capacity assumptions ................................................................................................................................ 15
 2.4. Demand-response flexibility assumptions......................................................................................................... 17

3. Methodology .................................................................................................................................................................................. 18
 3.1. Relationship to flexibility assessment methodology.................................................................................... 18
 3.2. Flexibility requirements................................................................................................................................................. 18
 3.3. Technology contributions ............................................................................................................................................. 20

4. Results and analysis.................................................................................................................................................................. 22
 4.1. Flexibility requirements................................................................................................................................................. 22
 4.2. Drivers behind flexibility requirements ................................................................................................................ 23
 4.3. Technology contributions to flexibility requirements................................................................................... 25
  4.3.1. Daily flexibility requirements....................................................................................................................... 25
   Weekly flexibility requirements............................................................................................................................. 26
   Monthly flexibility requirements........................................................................................................................... 27
   Yearly flexibility requirements............................................................................................................................... 28
 4.4. Demand-side flexibility provision sensitivities................................................................................................. 29
  4.4.1. Industrial demand response......................................................................................................................... 29
  4.4.2. Value of EV charging aggregation............................................................................................................ 30
  4.4.3. Hydrogen demand and production ........................................................................................................... 32
 4.5. The flexibility provision ladder.................................................................................................................................. 33

5. Conclusions..................................................................................................................................................................................... 37

References ............................................................................................................................................................................................. 38

List of abbreviations and definitions...................................................................................................................................... 40

List of figures....................................................................................................................................................................................... 41

List of tables......................................................................................................................................................................................... 43

Annexes ................................................................................................................................................................................................... 44
 Annex 1. POTEnCIA model...................................................................................................................................................... 44
 Annex 2. Modelling assumptions........................................................................................................................................ 46
 Annex 3. Positive and negative contributions to flexibility requirements................................................... 58