KETEP 세계에너지시장정보

Acknowledgements IV

Glossary VI

Foreword XI

Executive summary XII

Chapter 1 Introduction 1
 1.1 All eyes on the next nationally determined contributions 1
 1.2 Approach and structure of this report 2

Chapter 2 Global emissions trends 3
 2.1 Introduction 3
 2.2  Global emissions increased in 2023 4
 2.3 Sectors are shifting towards renewable sources and electrification, but not yet fast enough to significantly displace fossil fuels 6
 2.4  Emissions of the G20 increased overall in 2023 and accounted for 77 per cent of the total 10

Chapter 3 Nationally determined contributions and long-term pledges: The global landscape and G20 member progress 13
 3.1 Introduction  13
 3.2 Global trends in current NDCs provide important guidance for the next NDCs 14
 3.3 Progress of G20 economies towards NDCs has stalled 16
 3.4 Developments in long-term and net-zero pledges show reasons for concern 22

Chapter 4 The emissions gap in 2030 and 2035 26
 4.1 Introduction  26
 4.2 Scenarios for assessing the 2030 and 2035 emissions gap  26
 4.3 The emissions gaps in 2030, 2035 and 2050 remain large 30
 4.4 Immediate action matters for temperature implications 33

Chapter 5 Bridging the gap: Translating global milestones into action and ambition in the next nationally determined contributions of G20 members 35
 5.1 Introduction 35
 5.2 Interpretations of Paris-aligned action and ambition of G20 members show that they must move faster than the global average 35
 5.3 Emerging findings based on bottom-up national mitigation scenarios indicate that it is possible to accelerate action and increase ambition 39

Chapter 6 Bridging the gap: Sectoral transformation benchmarks, mitigation potentials and investment needs  41
 6.1 Introduction and synthesis  41
 6.2 Sector transformations, benchmarks and potentials can guide the next NDCs 43
 6.3 Substantial increases in investments and finance are required to accelerate action  58

References 63